FantasyPros Mock Draft Sim

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Fantasy Baseball Pre-Draft Injury Report by Payton Sanders

Garrett Richards- ADP 125/SP 31 - Left Knee
      Richards threw four no-hit innings in Triple-A ball on March 23rd.  All signs point to Richards returning to the Angels rotation by the end of April.  If Richards can be half the pitcher he was last year he is definitely worth a mid-round draft pick.   

Edwin Encarnacion- ADP 11/1b 5 - Back inflammation
      Encarnacion spent the beginning of this week taking some swings in the minors and will rejoin the team by the end of the week.  He is absolutely still a top 15 pick, but I would be wary taking the 32 year old in a very deep first baseman draft.  Hopefully the back issues are just a onetime occurrence and not a trend we see for the aging power hitter.

Hyun-Jin Ryu- ADP 133/SP 33- Left shoulder inflammation
      I am staying away from Ryu in all formats. Ryu missed 20 games last year due to the same injury and pitching arm issues this early is not a sign of good things to come.  Regardless, Ryu should be ready to pitch a couple weeks after the start of the year. 

Adam Wainwright- ADP 43/SP 12- Abdominal strain
      Nothing to see here.  Wainwright has pitched beautifully in spring training since returning from the abdominal strain and is slated to start Opening Day.  Most recently, Wainwright went 3 2/3 innings giving up four runs in the process. His stuff looked good and the abdominal strain seemed to be a non-factor.

Hunter Pence- ADP 86/OF 24- Fracture in left forearm
      Pence took a wicked fastball off his arm that will sideline him for 6-8 weeks.  The injury occurred on March 5th so we should expect Pence back in the Giants’ lineup towards the end of April.  The injury should have no effect on Pence’s draft stock and production in 2015. 

Jose Fernandez- ADP 178 SP- Tommy John Surgery
      Aiming for a June return, Fernandez has had no setbacks in his rehab from Tommy John surgery.  Although the Marlins are saying June, I don’t expect them to rush Fernandez back.  If you have the patience or a DL spot, Fernandez will be a great 14-17 round stash.

Daniel Murphy- ADP 146/2b 14 - Right hamstring strain
      Murphy will be ready for Opening Day, but you will want to monitor this injury closely.  Murphy should be a second option on most rosters anyway so go ahead and draft him the same as you would without the injury. UPDATE-Daniel Murphy likely to begin season on the DL

Jayson Werth- ADP 167/OF 47- Offseason shoulder surgery
Werth will continue to play in the minors this week, but the Nats are expecting him to be in their lineup at the beginning of the season.  Recently, Werth was quoted as saying he felt pain in his shoulder when swinging.  If you have read any of my other articles you would know that I love Jayson Werth this year, however I am going to drop him at least one round in my projections.  My concern is Werth will lose some power early in the year due to any lingering pain. 

Anthony Rendon- ADP 18/2b 3- MCL sprain
      Rendon suffered the sprain a week ago and is making improvements according to members of the Nationals.   An MRI taken on March 24th showed no structural damage which is a huge relief for guys like me who have Rendon locked in as a keeper.  If I’m a Rendon owner I want the Nats to hold him out for a couple more weeks to ensure that he is available the rest of the year.    

Matt Wieters- ADP 163/C 10- Tommy John surgery
      Wieters is now 10 months removed from Tommy John surgery and was recently shut down with some elbow tendinitis.  However, there is reason for optimism as x-rays have come back clean on the slugger. The Orioles are reporting that Wieters will begin the year on the DL to give his elbow more time to heal.  Even if he misses a week or two I expect Wieters to flirt with being a top 5 catcher this year as long as he can remain healthy.

Alex Cobb- ADP 82/SP 21- Right forearm tendinitis
      Cobb will miss his first start of the year to get a full recovery from the tendinitis in his throwing arm.  Cobb told the media on March 23rd that he was pain free and missing his first start was precautionary.  Draft Cobb as you normally would as he is lined up to be the Rays ace in 2015.

Koji Uehara-  ADP 120/RP 13- Left hamstring strain  
      Koji’s opening day availability is definitely in jeopardy, but that is not the reason why I wouldn’t draft him this year.  Koji is nearly 40 and even though the Red Sox resigned him for 2 years, the Red Sox have made sure they have a backup plan in place-Edward Mujica.  Uehara can make guys swing and miss with the best of them, but I think the shoulder injury is the first of many setbacks that happen with old age.    

Kenley Jansen- ADP 97/RP 7- Left foot surgery  
Jansen will miss the first month of the season recovering from foot surgery in February, but will immediately resume the role as closer for the Dodgers when he is healthy.  Jansen was 6th in saves last year and even with the month off should he should be a premier guy in 2015. 

Miguel Cabrera- ADP 6/1b 2-Right foot surgery   
The best hitter in baseball is healthy and ready to lead the Tigers’ high powered offense.  Draft him normally, which means early.

Victor Martinez- ADP 61/1b 13-Right knee surgery
      Like Miggy, Martinez will be ready to go for Opening Day.  After having meniscus surgery in February Martinez has already played in two spring league games.  Martinez if falling out of the first 4 rounds in most drafts which makes no sense to me considering he has 1b eligibility this year.  Regression from last year is predictable, but even with the regression Martinez will put up top 5 first baseman numbers.  UPDATE-V-Mart has admitted to some soreness in his surgically repaired knee.   
Chris Sale- ADP 19/SP 4 - Right foot fracture  
      The White Sox are hoping to have Sale back by mid-April so his draft stock should not take much of a hit.  The foot fracture should not affect Sale’s pitching if given the proper time to heal.  To that effect, his owners should be happy the Sox aren’t pushing him to start Opening Day.  Sale will throw a simulated game on Friday that will be a great indication of how Sale is recovering. 

Jacoby Ellsbury- ADP 30/OF 9- Oblique strain  
      After straining his oblique on the 17th, Ellsbury has started running and throwing and  is progressing great according to Joe Girardi.  Expect the Yankees to give Ellsbury enough time to recover, but he should be ready to go the first game of the year. 
***Click HERE to view our Injury Spreadsheet for all the latest updates.  Also be sure to follow Payton HERE 

Saturday, March 21, 2015

Tommy John List

As we get further along this spring one thing has become abundantly clear-Tommy John surgeries are not going anywhere. With that in mind we have compiled a list of players to have undergone the surgery in hopes to keep you the reader informed. Enjoy! It's staggering...

Friday, March 20, 2015

Injury Update: Hyun-Jin Ryu

Hyun-Jin Ryu has been shut down with left shoulder inflammation and was subsequently given an injection. As we know Ryu missed 20 games in 2014 while battling shoulder inflammation. Ryu himself was quoted as saying the pain wasn't as severe as last year. No matter-we're worried. When healthy Ryu has proven to be a very effective pitcher, as evident by the 14 games he won in 2014 while posting a 3.38 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. At this point one has to believe Ryu is in danger of missing the start of the season, especially given his history. If healthy Ryu should get close to last years numbers, however his health will be key. Stay tuned to The Infirmary Report for all of the Hyun-Jin Ryu updates. Click HERE to see Ryu's updated injury sheet.

Thursday, March 19, 2015

Injury Update: Angel Pagan

Angel Pagan is coming off a disastrous 2014 where he saw himself miss most of the regular season. More to the point, Pagan missed 50 games for a lingering lower back injury which ultimately resulted in surgery. Let's be honest, Pagan wasn't going to win any fantasy championships on his own. However, when healthy Pagan has shown the ability to hit for average and has stolen as much as 37 bases in a single season. Now slide the needle to 2015 where Pagan was expected to be healthy and ready to contribute to a Giants team in desperate need of outfield help. Sadly, word out of San Francisco is the club is worried about Pagan's health and fear this setback could linger into the season. He received an injection into the troubled area and hopes to resume activities in short order. If healthy Razzball projects Pagan to hit .270 with 5 HR's and 20 SB's. Given Pagan's propensity for injury and the recent setback, we should temper expectations for his 2015 campaign. Click HERE to view Angel Pagan's complete injury timeline.

Thursday, March 5, 2015

Injury Update: Hunter Pence

Hunter Pence was hit by a pitch Thursday and has subsequently been diagnosed with a "non-displaced fracture of the forearm."  The team estimates Pence could miss between 6-8 weeks of action, which seems a bit optimistic considering Curtis Granderson missed 10 weeks with a similar injury two years ago.  A displaced fracture means that the two bone parts are not in proper alignment.  A non-displaced fracture means that the bone, while fractured, remains aligned.  Non-displaced fractures may simply require bracing and anti-inflammatory medicine.  Whereas, displaced fractures may require surgery in order to ensure that the dislocated bones are replaced in their normal anatomic positions.
According to FantasyPros Pence has an ADP of 56 which is surely to be adjusted in the coming days.  Additionally, Razzball projected Pence to hit .272 with 21 HR's while driving in 98.  Click HERE to see the updated Hunter Pence injury sheet.

Saturday, February 21, 2015

2015 MLB Preseason Injury Report by Payton Sanders

Welcome all to the 2015 fantasy baseball preseason injury report.  Waiting on baseball season always makes winter seem very long especially when we are getting crazy snow and freezing temperatures in most parts of the country.  Luckily pitchers and catchers have finally reported for spring training and the smell of pine tar is in the air.  Every year one of the hardest things to predict before your fantasy draft is how a player will respond after suffering a significant injury.  To help you sort through this process I will highlight some of the biggest names who are returning from injury that are projected to be ready for opening day.  Good luck to everyone on the year and remember if my advice is wrong it’s your fault for listening to me, but if I’m right you’re welcome. 

Miguel Cabrera- Right ankle surgery October 2014
ADP- 5   1b- #1
2014 Stats: GP- 159   AVG- .313   OBP- .371   OPS- .895   HR- 25   RBI- 109   Runs- 101
Arguably the best hitter in the big leagues led all hitters in extra base hits in 2014. The top first basement in the year’s draft should certainly be an early pick, but let me tell you why I would not waste a 1st rounder on him.  Last year Cabrera struck out 117 times while walking only 60 times, which were both his worst career numbers.  In 2015 Cabrera will only be 1b eligible which is very unfortunate considering it is by far the deepest position.  Good news for Miggy is that the Tigers' lineup is stacked with power assuming Victor Martinez returns healthy, and teams will have to pitch to the big man.  The off season surgery should relieve some discomfort he was facing but don’t expect him to start swiping bases any time soon.  I see another big year for Miggy, but in my mind not worth a 1st rounder when I can get someone comparable at 1b in the 3rd or 4th. 

Joey Votto- Distal quad strain July 2014
ADP- 72   1b- #17
2014 Stats: GP- 62   AVG- .255   OBP- .390   OPS- .799   HR- 6   RBI- 23   Runs- 32
Joey Votto is one of those picks that makes you look like a genius or ruins your entire team.  I could see him finishing the year as a top 10 first baseman but I could see him falling out of the top 25.  Votto is a guy who I think will benefit greatly from the extended rest after shutting it down in July.  A distal quad strain for a power hitter can be very detrimental and I believe it was for Votto last year.  I see only two scenarios where I would draft Votto.  The first is if I don’t get one of my top 6 first baseman and can get him in the 7th or 8th instead of somebody like Pujols in the 4th or 5th.  The second would be if he drops out of the first 12 rounds and I could pick him up for great value.  The smart move would be to downplay Votto to the rest of your league and try and pick him up after everybody has filled their 1b roster spot. 

Carlos Gonzalez- Left knee surgery August 2014
ADP- 44   OF- #13
2014 Stats: GP- 70   AVG- .238   OBP- .292   OPS- .723   HR- 11   RBI- 38   Runs- 35
I have never been one to not draft a guy who has a history of injuries, but Cargo’s last four years definitely raise some concerns.  In 2014 Cargo missed 92 games, 52 in 2013, 27 in 2012, and 35 in 2011.  There is no denying he is one of the most well rounded players in the game, not to mention he plays in the most hitter friendly park the league has ever seen.  If Cargo can make it through the year playing in 80% of the Rockies’ games he will be a top 10 outfielder and if his running mate Tulowitzki can stay healthy, Gonzalez has the potential to break into the top 5.  I believe he has the most upside of any 4th round projected player.   

Alex Gordon- Right wrist surgery December 2014
ADP- 100   OF- #25
2014 Stats: GP- 156   AVG- .266   OBP- .351   OPS- .783   HR- 19   RBI- 74   Runs- 87
I haven’t seen or read anyone who says Alex Gordon will be a top 20 outfielder this year and I have tried to find a reason to say otherwise, but I can’t.  Gordon has never broken 90 RBI's in a season, has batted over .300 just once (.303), and only eclipsed 20 HRs one time.  Gordon is a top tier glove in left field, but a common mistake fantasy owners make is looking at a player on their overall performance instead of just offense which is all that matters in the fantasy world.  Another factor that boosts a guys’ fantasy perception is the exposure he gets in the playoffs and especially the World Series.  Gordon will be a solid 3rd outfielder on any roster, but definitely not worth a guy you want to draft before the 10th round. 

Ryan Braun- Right thumb surgery October 2014
ADP- 33   OF- #10
2014 Stats: GP- 135   AVG- .266   OBP- .324   OPS- .777   HR- 19   RBI- 81   Runs- 68
Overrated, clap clap clap clap clap, Overrated, clap clap clap clap clap.  Ryan Braun ends up being a great player to talk about after Alex Gordon.  If you look through their stats they are very similar.  Granted Gordon played 21 more games than Braun, but it’s hard to not notice the similarity in their production.  It’s also hard not to notice that Braun is projected to be drafted 15 outfielders before Gordon.  In Braun’s first season back after his suspension for violating the league’s drug policy he produced his lowest totals in runs, Avg, RBIs, HRs, OPS, slugging, steals, total bases, and OBS.   Coincidence, I think not.  I personally like the Brewers as a team this year and having Carlos Gomez hitting in front of him definitely can’t hurt Braun’s stock.  Braun will be a solid performer this year especially with the off-season rest, but there is no way I am using one of my 1st 5 picks on him when I could get a guy like Gordon with my 10th.  

Brandon Moss- Right hip surgery October 2014
ADP- 176   1b- #26   OF- #53
2014 Stats: GP- 147   AVG- .234   OBP- .334   OPS- .772   HR- 25   RBI- 81   Runs- 70
A low batting average and high strike out rate are never good qualities for a hitter, but when you can hit 25 home runs with a .330 OBP and .770 OPS those weaknesses don’t seem to matter all that much.  Moss got off to a very hot start in 2014 and slowed down a bit in the last couple of months most likely due to this hip injury.  If you are a power hitter and have a lower leg injury you end up trying to compensate by changing your swing leading to more strike outs and a lower average.  There are three reasons why I love Brandon Moss this year.  First he had successful surgery and shouldn’t have to worry about a nagging injury affecting his swing.  Second, he gives you positional flexibility being OF and 1b eligible.  And lastly, He is now a part of one of my favorite lineups in baseball.  The Indians will trot out a lineup consisting of Kipnis, Brantley, Santana, Chisenhall, Bourne, Swisher, Gomes, and now Moss.  If Moss can consistently be in the top half of the lineup I expect him to have a much better season than the 176 ranking he is given right now. 

Jayson Werth- Right shoulder scope surgery January 2015
ADP- 125   OF- #28
2014 Stats: GP- 147   AVG- .292   OBP- .394   OPS- .849   HR- 16   RBI- 82   Runs- 85
If you think I liked Brandon Moss and the Indians lineup you will think I am absolutely gaga for Werth and the Nationals.  If you can find a better top half of an order than Span, Rendon, Werth, Harper, and Zimmerman please let me know because I can’t.  The Nationals were 9th in runs scored last year despite a plethora of injuries and Werth was a major contributing factor in that.  Over his last 6 full seasons Werth has averaged 25 HRs, 79 RBIs, and a .290 batting average.  All though we saw a dip in his power numbers last year, he maintained these averages in all other categories and ranked 5th in majors with a .394 OBP. Werth may slip in some drafts because it is unknown if he will be ready for opening day which in my eyes could not work out any better.  Mark my words, Jayson Werth will be one of the best value picks and a must start in 2015. 

Matt Wieters- Tommy John surgery June 2014
ADP- 158   C- #10  
2014 Stats: GP- 26   AVG- .308   OBP- .339   OPS- .839   HR- 5   RBI- 18   Runs- 13
Matt Wieters was on pace to being one of the top catchers last year before he had to undergo Tommy John surgery.  Although some regression was expected he was projected to finish with an above .300 average, 25+ HRs, and 85+ RBIs, which were well above his last 3 full year average of .249 BA, 22 HRs, and 76 RBIs.  Wieters will benefit from a very good lineup around him that was 8th in runs scored in 2014.  Although he is only catcher eligible I think he will finish in the top 5 at the position behind Posey, Lucroy, Mesoraco, and Santana. 

Manny Machado- Right knee surgery August 2014
ADP- 138   3b- #17  
2014 Stats: GP- 82   AVG- .278   OBP- .324   OPS- .755   HR- 12   RBI- 32   Runs- 38
I’m not going to lie here, Machado’s injury history definitely scare me due to the severity of the injuries.  Third base is one of the deeper positions this year and although I love Machado’s potential it’s hard to gamble on him considering the other options out there.  However Machado will bat near the top of a great lineup in the offensive heavy AL East.  With injuries aside, I will always draft a guy on a top offense who is above average in most categories over a guy who is better in those categories that doesn’t have help around him.  Machado should be drafted with a backup plan at third base.  If you get another solid third baseman and Machado does get off to a great start you will have a great trading piece to improve your roster elsewhere. 

Shin Soo Choo- Left ankle surgery September 2014
ADP- 167   OF- #52   DH- #11  
2014 Stats: GP- 123   AVG- .240   OBP- .338   OPS- .709   HR- 13   RBI- 40   Runs- 58
With the addition on Nate Schierholtz and the emergence of the younger Leonys Martin, Ryan Rua, and Jake Smolinski I could see the 32 year old Choo spending more time on the bench than the field in 2015.  The once consistent 20/20 guy had a miserable 2014 totaling only 13 home runs and 3 stolen bases.  All year he was hampered by injuries which hopefully won’t be the case this year after off-season ankle surgery.  If Choo can stay in the lineup he should rebound from a season where he had his lowest totals in every single major batting category in past years where he played at least 90 games.  Batting at the top of the Rangers order in front of Andrus, Fielder, and Beltre is a great spot to have; I just don’t think Choo will be the one occupying it for much of the year.   

Jason Kipnis- Left finger surgery December 2014
ADP- 81   2b- #7  
2014 Stats: GP- 129   AVG- .240   OBP- .310   OPS- .640   HR- 6   RBI- 41   Runs- 61
Kipnis had a string of nagging lower body injuries last year capped off by surgery on his left hand in December.  The injuries had a direct effect on Kipnis’ numbers that dipped drastically in 2014 from 2012 and 2013.  In the 2 previous years Kipnis racked up 31 HRs, 160 RBIs, 171 runs, and 61 stolen bases.  As I mentioned with Brandon Moss I love the Indians lineup and Kipnis is a big reason for that.  I think he will benefit greatly from a long off-season and will be the bounce back player of the year. 

David Wright- Left rotator cuff September 2014
ADP- 87   3b- #13  
2014 Stats: GP- 134   AVG- .269   OBP- .324   OPS- .698   HR- 8   RBI- 63   Runs- 54
From 2005 to 2010 David Wright was arguably the best hitting 3rd baseman in the entire MLB. During that time frame he averaged 156 games played, 26 HRs, 104 RBIs, 97 runs, and a .306 batting average.  Since 2010 his numbers have dropped significantly averaging 126 games played, 15 HRs, 67 RBIs, 67 runs, and a .284 average.  The injury to his rotator cuff could effect his ability to play third base and playing in the NL he doesn’t have the luxury of helping out at DH.  David Wright is no longer a top 15 third baseman and should not be treated like one. 

Nick Markakis- Neck fusion surgery (herniated disk) December 2014
ADP- 291   OF- #79  
2014 Stats: GP- 155   AVG- .276   OBP- .342   OPS- .728   HR- 14   RBI- 50   Runs- 81
The Braves feel the same way about Nick Markakis as I do, signing him to a 4 year 44 million dollar deal. If I had it my way Markakis would still be the leadoff man for the top notch Orioles’ offense instead of the Braves, but if Markakis has shown us one thing since entering the majors it’s that he is very consistent.   Since coming into the majors 9 years ago he has averaged 15+ home runs, 70+ RBIs, 80+ runs, .290 BA, .358 OBP, and .793 OPS.  His numbers were down a bit last year but your numbers would be down too if you were dealing with a herniated disk.  With a successful neck surgery in December we should see Markakis get his power back in 2015 and finish well above the 79th ranked outfielder. 

Victor Martinez- Left knee (meniscus) surgery January 2015
ADP- 39   1b- #8   DH- #4  
2014 Stats: GP- 151   AVG- .355   OBP- .409   OPS- .974   HR- 32   RBI- 103   Runs- 87
It’s hard to expect Martinez to duplicate is 2014 campaign where he finished 2nd in the MVP voting.  Even he can’t match last year’s numbers we can still accept him to hit 20 dingers, push across 90 RBIs, and hit for at least a .300 average. I don’t see the meniscus injury being much of a concern even if he isn’t ready for opening day.  Whenever Martinez is ready to play he will instantly be inserted into a power heavy lineup featuring Cabrera, Ian Kinsler, J.D. Martinez, and newly acquired Yoenis Cepedes.  My advice is to not let the first base eligible Martinez get out of the 3rd round this year. 

Garrett Richards- Left knee surgery (patellar tendon) August 2014
ADP- 147   SP- #40
2014 Stats: GS- 26   Wins- 13   Losses- 4   ERA- 2.61   WHIP- 1.04   Ks- 164
Garrett Richards will try to get back on track after one of the more brutal looking injuries last year.  Prior to the injury Richards was having a Cy Young caliber year.  Luckily Richards is only 27 years old and the injury was to his knee and not his prized arm.   However, there is some cause to be concerned as Richards has said publicly that he is having some trouble with planting on the injured leg.  We will have to monitor his progression closely throughout spring training to get a better idea of what to expect out of him.  Being drafted as the 40th starting pitcher Richards definitely has a lot of upside if he can return to his 2014 form when he was averaging a strikeout an inning.

Matt Cain- Right elbow surgery August 2014
ADP- 225   SP- #71
2014 Stats: GS- 15   Wins- 2   Losses- 7   ERA- 4.38   WHIP- 1.25   Ks- 70
Since coming into the big leagues full time Cain has averaged 209 innings a year between 2006 and 2013. Cain, who had pitched at least 180 innings in every season from 2006-2013, landed on the disabled list in July with an elbow injury before eventually getting surgery on that elbow in August. There is no question that all those innings caught up with this workhorse. Prior to the injury Cain had posted his highest ERA of his career and had his strike out to walk ratio shrink to 2.2. If Cain can’t return back to his pre 2012 form he may find himself without a spot in the very crowded Giants rotation.

Matt Harvey- Tommy John surgery October 2013
ADP- 70   SP- #17
2014 Stats: DNP
I am going to make some statements and I want you to stop me when you hear something that doesn’t make you love Matt Harvey this year.  In 36 starts he has a 2.39 ERA and .98 WHIP.  He averages 10 strikeouts per 9 innings.  He has had a year and a half off to recover from Tommy John Surgery.  The Mets will not put a pitch limit on him.  The Mets now have Michael Cuddyer and Lucas Duda giving Harvey run support.  He is only 25 years old.  I would not be surprised if we are talking about Harvey as a Cy Young candidate come the All-Star break.  

Cliff Lee- Left elbow strain August 2014
ADP- 155   SP- #35
2014 Stats: GS- 13   Wins- 4   Losses- 5   ERA- 3.65   WHIP- 1.38   Ks- 72
Cliff Lee is one of the more perplexing players going into 2015.  First of all we don’t even know if he will pitching for the Phillies this year, but for the sake of this piece let’s assume he will be.  The Phillies are going to be awful this year and you can’t expect Lee to get any run support, much like the previous 3 years.  Lee struggled with an elbow injury all season and his numbers reflected it.  After 6 straight seasons of at least 211 innings pitched and now being 36 years old, these nagging injuries may become much more frequent.  I’m going to take the Bill Belichick approach on Lee and sell his stock before it’s too late. 

CC Sabathia- Right knee surgery (arthroscopic debridement)July 2014
ADP- 363   SP- #110
2014 Stats: GS- 8   Wins- 3   Losses- 4   ERA- 5.28   WHIP- 1.48   Ks- 48
CC is another older pitcher who is finally feeling the repercussions of being a workhorse for the majority of his career.  Now 34 years old, CC averaged 230 innings pitched a year over the last 7 years.  After 4 dominate years in pinstripes CC watched is ERA sky rocket and has shown no signs of it coming back down to earth.  Sabathia is a last round stash pick at very best with an outside chance of returning to the dominate, commanding lefty we grew to love. 

Homer Bailey- Right forearm surgery (flexor mass tendon) September 2014
ADP- 180   SP- #47
2014 Stats: GS- 23   Wins- 9   Losses- 5   ERA- 3.71   WHIP- 1.23   Ks- 124
A year ago the Reds decided to invest 105 million dollars into Homer Bailey for reasons that are beyond me.  Bailey had never had a season with an ERA under 3.00 or a WHIP of 1.30, but still was able to get a big time deal.  The other mistake the Reds made was not increasing Bailey’s innings gradually.  From 2007 to 2011 Bailey never eclipsed 132 innings in a year.  Then in 2012 he pitched 208 innings, 209 in 2013, and was on pace for 202 last season.  And to no surprise Bailey injured his throwing arm ending his 2014 campaign early.   Don’t get me wrong, Bailey is a solid number 3 guy in most rotations but you do not want to fill your roster with a lot of number 3 guys.   
-See our 2015 Injury spreadsheet for players timelines and updates

Thursday, February 19, 2015

Injury Update: Jose Fernandez

Jose Fernandez is feeling so encouraged by his rehab he proclaimed he is ready to pitch in games. This of course will not be the case although his optimism exciting. He is however slated to begin throwing off a mound for the first time since his injury. As we know Fernandez fell victim to the dreaded UCL injury resulting in successful Tommy John surgery. Still only 22 years old Fernandez is in the prime of his career and assuming he suffers no setbacks should bounce back. What should we expect from Fernandez in terms of fantasy value? The Marlins have no reason to rush their prized pitcher back so a June return seems a bit optimistic. Moreover, July seems more plausible and more specifically late July. With the all-star break in mid-July it seems like a natural spot to mix Fernandez in upon its conclusion. Expectations should be tempered with Fernandez in 2015 as many pitchers struggle upon returning from such an injury.  In fact, some pitchers have returned to only re-tear the ligament. "If they can rip out the ligament God gave them, they can rip out the ligament we give them." This was proclaimed by one of the doctors leading the charge in the Tommy John explosion amongst baseball players. Best case scenario is you get a half season out of Fernandez. How good he will be is anyone's guess. See his updated injury sheet HERE
***Update***(2-20)Fernandez to throw off a mound Mar. 1
***Update***(3-1)Throwing off a mound
***Update***(3-1)Throwing bullpens