Thursday, March 26, 2015

Fantasy Baseball Pre-Draft Injury Report by Payton Sanders

Garrett Richards- ADP 125/SP 31 - Left Knee
      Richards threw four no-hit innings in Triple-A ball on March 23rd.  All signs point to Richards returning to the Angels rotation by the end of April.  If Richards can be half the pitcher he was last year he is definitely worth a mid-round draft pick.   

Edwin Encarnacion- ADP 11/1b 5 - Back inflammation
      Encarnacion spent the beginning of this week taking some swings in the minors and will rejoin the team by the end of the week.  He is absolutely still a top 15 pick, but I would be wary taking the 32 year old in a very deep first baseman draft.  Hopefully the back issues are just a onetime occurrence and not a trend we see for the aging power hitter.

Hyun-Jin Ryu- ADP 133/SP 33- Left shoulder inflammation
      I am staying away from Ryu in all formats. Ryu missed 20 games last year due to the same injury and pitching arm issues this early is not a sign of good things to come.  Regardless, Ryu should be ready to pitch a couple weeks after the start of the year. 

Adam Wainwright- ADP 43/SP 12- Abdominal strain
      Nothing to see here.  Wainwright has pitched beautifully in spring training since returning from the abdominal strain and is slated to start Opening Day.  Most recently, Wainwright went 3 2/3 innings giving up four runs in the process. His stuff looked good and the abdominal strain seemed to be a non-factor.

Hunter Pence- ADP 86/OF 24- Fracture in left forearm
      Pence took a wicked fastball off his arm that will sideline him for 6-8 weeks.  The injury occurred on March 5th so we should expect Pence back in the Giants’ lineup towards the end of April.  The injury should have no effect on Pence’s draft stock and production in 2015. 

Jose Fernandez- ADP 178 SP- Tommy John Surgery
      Aiming for a June return, Fernandez has had no setbacks in his rehab from Tommy John surgery.  Although the Marlins are saying June, I don’t expect them to rush Fernandez back.  If you have the patience or a DL spot, Fernandez will be a great 14-17 round stash.

Daniel Murphy- ADP 146/2b 14 - Right hamstring strain
      Murphy will be ready for Opening Day, but you will want to monitor this injury closely.  Murphy should be a second option on most rosters anyway so go ahead and draft him the same as you would without the injury. UPDATE-Daniel Murphy likely to begin season on the DL

Jayson Werth- ADP 167/OF 47- Offseason shoulder surgery
Werth will continue to play in the minors this week, but the Nats are expecting him to be in their lineup at the beginning of the season.  Recently, Werth was quoted as saying he felt pain in his shoulder when swinging.  If you have read any of my other articles you would know that I love Jayson Werth this year, however I am going to drop him at least one round in my projections.  My concern is Werth will lose some power early in the year due to any lingering pain. 

Anthony Rendon- ADP 18/2b 3- MCL sprain
      Rendon suffered the sprain a week ago and is making improvements according to members of the Nationals.   An MRI taken on March 24th showed no structural damage which is a huge relief for guys like me who have Rendon locked in as a keeper.  If I’m a Rendon owner I want the Nats to hold him out for a couple more weeks to ensure that he is available the rest of the year.    

Matt Wieters- ADP 163/C 10- Tommy John surgery
      Wieters is now 10 months removed from Tommy John surgery and was recently shut down with some elbow tendinitis.  However, there is reason for optimism as x-rays have come back clean on the slugger. The Orioles are reporting that Wieters will begin the year on the DL to give his elbow more time to heal.  Even if he misses a week or two I expect Wieters to flirt with being a top 5 catcher this year as long as he can remain healthy.

Alex Cobb- ADP 82/SP 21- Right forearm tendinitis
      Cobb will miss his first start of the year to get a full recovery from the tendinitis in his throwing arm.  Cobb told the media on March 23rd that he was pain free and missing his first start was precautionary.  Draft Cobb as you normally would as he is lined up to be the Rays ace in 2015.

Koji Uehara-  ADP 120/RP 13- Left hamstring strain  
      Koji’s opening day availability is definitely in jeopardy, but that is not the reason why I wouldn’t draft him this year.  Koji is nearly 40 and even though the Red Sox resigned him for 2 years, the Red Sox have made sure they have a backup plan in place-Edward Mujica.  Uehara can make guys swing and miss with the best of them, but I think the shoulder injury is the first of many setbacks that happen with old age.    

Kenley Jansen- ADP 97/RP 7- Left foot surgery  
Jansen will miss the first month of the season recovering from foot surgery in February, but will immediately resume the role as closer for the Dodgers when he is healthy.  Jansen was 6th in saves last year and even with the month off should he should be a premier guy in 2015. 

Miguel Cabrera- ADP 6/1b 2-Right foot surgery   
The best hitter in baseball is healthy and ready to lead the Tigers’ high powered offense.  Draft him normally, which means early.

Victor Martinez- ADP 61/1b 13-Right knee surgery
      Like Miggy, Martinez will be ready to go for Opening Day.  After having meniscus surgery in February Martinez has already played in two spring league games.  Martinez if falling out of the first 4 rounds in most drafts which makes no sense to me considering he has 1b eligibility this year.  Regression from last year is predictable, but even with the regression Martinez will put up top 5 first baseman numbers.  UPDATE-V-Mart has admitted to some soreness in his surgically repaired knee.   
Chris Sale- ADP 19/SP 4 - Right foot fracture  
      The White Sox are hoping to have Sale back by mid-April so his draft stock should not take much of a hit.  The foot fracture should not affect Sale’s pitching if given the proper time to heal.  To that effect, his owners should be happy the Sox aren’t pushing him to start Opening Day.  Sale will throw a simulated game on Friday that will be a great indication of how Sale is recovering. 

Jacoby Ellsbury- ADP 30/OF 9- Oblique strain  
      After straining his oblique on the 17th, Ellsbury has started running and throwing and  is progressing great according to Joe Girardi.  Expect the Yankees to give Ellsbury enough time to recover, but he should be ready to go the first game of the year. 
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1 comment:

  1. This is a really great report as the best way to forecast future injuries is to know the previous ones. I started learning about fantasy baseball and sports as a whole when I can across I got a guide there on how to play fantasy sports and from there on I learned a lot more from the internet. Now I am following injuries, performance and personal life of the players so that I can make some solid picks.